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24 July 2007

OPEN BRIEFING
CEO and CFO on Update

corporatefile.com.au

Orbital Corporation Limited said in February at its first-half result announcement that it expected an improved profit result for the full year ended June 2007. The company booked net profit of $0.5 million in 2006. Do you remain in line to achieve a profit improvement?

CFO Keith Halliwell

Yes, we expect to report an improved profit after tax. As reported in the first half, the result for the June 2007 year includes the $0.5 million settlement of an R&D syndicate dispute and the impact of Synerject's investment in the Chinese engine management system (EMS) market, however we've seen an improvement in our engineering business which has underpinned the result.

corporatefile.com.au

How are Orbital's earnings being affected by the strengthening Australian dollar?

CFO Keith Halliwell

The strengthening Australian dollar has a negative impact when we convert the Synerject profit to Australian dollars and this will continue to dampen our US-based revenues, which also include engineering and royalties. We can put in place some level of hedging for anticipated engineering and royalty cash flow.

corporatefile.com.au

Orbital's Engineering Services business made a pre-tax profit of $2.0 million in the first half of 2007 compared with a loss in the previous corresponding period. Did the momentum continue in Engineering Services in the second half?

CEO Rod Houston

Engineering Services was particularly buoyant in the first half due to the strong order book at the beginning of the year. There was some slowdown in the second half mainly due to delays in engineering orders out of China and India. We're starting to see some of these orders come through now, however our order book isn't quite as strong as this time last year given the slower second half.

corporatefile.com.au

As Keith mentioned earlier, the earnings of Synerject, your 50:50 joint venture with Siemens-VDO Automotive, were impacted in 2007 by costs associated with the start-up of production in China. Can you comment on Synerject's performance versus this expectation and the progress of its operations in China?

CEO Rod Houston

Synerject's results are generally in line with expectations, given the investments required to set up in China. We're also expecting ongoing support costs for establishing Synerject's first few products in China, with upfront engineering costs that will be recovered in component sales in future years.

Synerject has made good progress on setting up both its manufacturing centre and engineering centre in China.

corporatefile.com.au

In China Synerject is manufacturing a recently developed low-cost electronic control unit (ECU). What is the potential market for these units and what will be the drivers of their take-up by the market?

CEO Rod Houston

The low-cost ECU will initially be taken up by Taiwanese and Chinese manufacturers who are looking to export their products. The good news is that emissions legislation, which is already in place in Taiwan, will be put in place in China from January 2008. This will help to drive the change towards the use of these ECUs for scooters and motorcycles in the domestic market as well.

The Chinese domestic motorcycle market was over 20 million motorcycles last year and it's growing at 10 to 15 percent a year. The market today is 100 percent carburettor-based. The experience in Europe and the US shows that the introduction of more stringent emissions legislation provides a good driver for the penetration of EMS. The exact timing of this change-over is difficult to predict, Synerject is setting up now to be in a good position to supply this emerging market in the future.

corporatefile.com.au

When might Synerject return to earnings growth?

CEO Rod Houston

Synerject is in the process of building up its manufacturing, engineering and infrastructure to support its future growth in the Chinese and Indian markets. This investment has created a slowdown in earnings growth but it should start to deliver growth from the beginning of next financial year.

corporatefile.com.au

Orbital announced in May that one of its licensees in India, Bajaj Auto, had started production of an autorickshaw model that incorporates Orbital direct injection (DI) technology. What market feedback have you received since the launch and what are your unit sales expectations for the current financial year ending June 2008?

CEO Rod Houston

The market feedback has been positive, with customers enjoying over 30 percent reduction in fuel consumption and hence running costs, as well as improved drivability. The sales figures are difficult to predict as they'll depend on Bajaj's roll-out plan which is being carried out in a very controlled fashion in order to generate pull from the market and ensure that the dealer network is appropriately trained.

Bajaj manufactures over 350,000 autorickshaws in total and has a strong commitment to ensuring the DI model works well in the long term.

corporatefile.com.au

What are expected to be the drivers of the Bajaj autorickshaw's penetration of the Indian market and what impact are you expecting on your License and Royalties income stream?

CEO Rod Houston

The key drivers of the Orbital DI-Bajaj autorickshaw's market penetration will be improved fuel consumption and reduced running costs. Particulate emissions are also reduced considerably on the DI product, and the reduced oil consumption and smoke are major benefits to the environment. In the development pipeline there is a DI gaseous rickshaw which is expected to give even further benefits in running costs.

Any further licensing payments for the autorickshaw are linked to volume triggers and are expected to become payable this financial year. Royalties will depend on the overall acceptance in the marketplace, however with the launch of the petrol version and the potential for a gaseous version in the next calendar year, there are good prospects for royalties to grow over the short to medium term.

corporatefile.com.au

One element of your growth strategy for Orbital is to expand its engineering and technology capability. What has been your recent progress in this area?

CEO Rod Houston

We've done a lot of work in the last two years to expand our engineering and technology capability and broaden our portfolio to increase the number of potential customers. A good example of this has been the development of our spark-ignited kerosene and diesel combustion system, which has led to a number of large engineering programs and new products being developed for the coming years. The first four-stroke DI product in this area is expected to be launched this financial year.

More recently, we've also built up our expertise in the area of compressed natural gas (CNG) applications for heavy-duty trucks in the Australian market. This is a new market in Australia and we've already won significant engineering programs in this area. There are many other new activities we expect to develop from this small beginning.

The development of a centre of excellence for gaseous and alternative fuels in Australia is something we strongly believe in. We're currently investing significant resources from our R&D budget to ensure we build up our knowledge and intellectual property in this area.

corporatefile.com.au

Can you comment on how the structure of Orbital's earnings might change over the next three to five years given your entry into emerging markets such as China and India and the increasing pressure on governments to address the issue of greenhouse gas emissions?

CEO Rod Houston

The India and China markets are important to our growth aspirations. They have significant volumes and we're in the process of launching new products that will provide benefits with respect to emissions and fuel consumption in these markets. Market penetration will be dependent on customer acceptance, which is difficult to predict at this early stage. We also have opportunities to grow revenue in our more established markets in the US and Europe, where we can develop into new areas.

I believe we're well positioned to leverage our core capabilities as a company that understands the commercialisation process and also has a track record of developing clean solutions for future sustainability. In the area of energy usage, we have a solid platform of skills, passion and management to work on improving efficiency for both the transport and mining industries here in Australia and in Asia.

Our strategy is to move more of our activities into the wider field of technology and service solutions for a cleaner world.

corporatefile.com.au

Thank you Rod and Keith.

DISCLAIMER: Corporate File Pty Ltd has taken reasonable care in publishing the information contained in this Open Briefing®. It is information given in a summary form and does not purport to be complete. The information contained is not intended to be used as the basis for making any investment decision and you are solely responsible for any use you choose to make of the information. We strongly advise that you seek independent professional advice before making any investment decisions. Corporate File Pty Ltd is not responsible for any consequences of the use you make of the information, including any loss or damage you or a third party might suffer as a result of that use.


 


 
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